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Bitcoin’s “Max Pain” Level Is $83,000. Is That a Price Target?
A precise number can make an uncertain market feel predictable.
An October 12 options-data snapshot placed Bitcoin’s “max pain” level at $83,000 for the October 16 expiry.
It is tempting to read that as the price Bitcoin is heading toward. But the calculation answers a different question: where
Jad Aboulhosn
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Oct 12, 2026
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2 min read
Latest
Oct 8, 2026
Options Volume Is Rising. Open Interest Is Falling. What Does It Mean?
More Trading Doesn't Always Mean More Risk
Crypto options became noticeably more active in September.
According to Coinbase's October market-positioning report, options turnover reached its highest level since November 2025. But at the same time, options open interest fell 4% during the month.
That creates an
Oct 7, 2026
New Crypto Futures Listings: A Bullish Signal?
A token gets a new futures market. Does that mean its price should rise?
It is an easy assumption: more access, more institutional attention, more buyers. But derivatives support several trading strategies, and buying into a rally is only one of them.
Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap futures are scheduled to
Research
Oct 6, 2026
How we made options act like futures
No-liquidation futures are live. This is the research behind them: why a deep in-the-money option moves like a future, the math, what it costs, how often a wick kills a perpetual, and what you still risk.
Oct 2, 2026
Bitcoin Traders Are Turning to Options; Here’s Why
Options Are No Longer the Side Product
For years, crypto derivatives were dominated by perpetual futures.
That is changing.
A recent Glassnode industry report found that options grew from roughly 25% to nearly 50% of notional open interest across the crypto-native Bitcoin derivatives market studied. The report describes the shift
Sep 29, 2026
Bitcoin Is Flat. Why Are Options Traders Still Active?
Bitcoin’s Price Is Only Part of the Story
Most traders watch one thing:
Price.
Is Bitcoin going up?
Is Bitcoin going down?
But options traders look at another important factor:
How much movement does the market expect?
That expectation is called implied volatility (IV).
While Bitcoin can move sideways,
Sep 28, 2026
Bitcoin Options Are Going Longer; Why Time Is Becoming Part of the Trade
Bitcoin Options Just Got a Longer Clock
Crypto trading is often associated with minutes, hours and rapid price moves.
But the Bitcoin options market is beginning to tell a different story.
A Bitcoin options contract expiring on January 28, 2028 recently cleared on a digital-asset exchange, reportedly making it the
Sep 28, 2026
When Crypto Headlines Move Faster Than Bitcoin: Why Defined Risk Matters
One Headline Can Change the Market Fast
Crypto traders received another reminder this week that markets don't always wait for you to react.
On September 15, the U.S. Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in a procedural vote. Bitcoin was down roughly 4%
Sep 25, 2026
The $16 Billion Bitcoin Options Expiry Is Over | What Happens Next?
The Expiry Is Over. Now what?
Billions of dollars in Bitcoin options reached expiry on September 25, putting one of the market’s biggest quarterly options events in the spotlight.
But once the contracts expire, the more interesting question begins:
Where does all that positioning go next?
Some traders close
Sep 15, 2026
Bitcoin Traders Aren’t Just Watching the Fed; They’re Pricing It
The Fed Decision Is Already Showing Up in Bitcoin Options
The Federal Reserve meets September 15–16, and expectations have changed quickly.
After stronger inflation data and rising oil prices, a Reuters poll found that 85% of economists surveyed expect a 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has
Sep 14, 2026
Bitcoin Traders Are Paying More for Protection; What Are Options Telling Us?
Bitcoin's Price Isn't the Whole Story
Bitcoin traders usually watch the chart.
Options traders watch something else too: what people are willing to pay for protection.
During the week ending September 12, Bitcoin options became more defensive. Options data showed skew moving toward puts across several
Sep 8, 2026
Why Big Bitcoin Options Expiries Matter
Bitcoin options traders are watching September 25, 2026.
Current market data shows roughly $14.4 billion in Bitcoin options open interest concentrated around that expiry on one major options venue, making it significantly larger than nearby September expiries.
But what actually happens when that many options expire?
Why Large Expiries
